Holley Inc. (HLLY) presents a deeply negative liquidation posture as of March 29, 2026. Applying standard liquidation haircuts to reported asset values and holding liabilities at face value produces a recovery to equity that is materially negative, consistent with MFFAIS CLV/LLV of approximately negative $636 million and OLV of approximately negative $425 million. The asset base is dominated by goodwill ($375.0M), indefinite-lived intangibles ($189.1M), and finite-lived intangibles net ($207.9M), which aggregate to approximately $772M against total assets of $1,179M. Under the liquidation lens, these three categories contribute zero recovery. Tangible assets recoverable under haircuts are limited: cash ($33.1M, 100%), net AR ($59.1M gross less $2.1M allowance, ~90-95% recovery yielding ~$54-56M), inventory ($210.5M at 60% yielding ~$126M), and PP&E net ($46.5M at 50-70% yielding ~$23-33M). Estimated gross liquidation asset recovery is therefore roughly $236-248M against total liabilities of $722.8M at face value—producing an equity recovery deficit of approximately $475-487M before transaction costs. The dominant liability is long-term debt: $529.4M gross carrying amount (net of $6.5M deferred financing costs = $522.9M book), with $516.2M maturing in fiscal 2027 per the maturity schedule, creating a near-term refinancing overhang. Operating lease liabilities add $44.1M at face value ($54.6M undiscounted), expanding from $34.5M at December 31, 2025, driven by the new Glendale, Arizona operating lease that commenced February 1, 2026 ($10.1M ROU asset and liability recognized on commencement). This lease commitment does not extinguish on wind-up. The securities class action (City of Fort Lauderdale v. Holley) reached an agreement in principle on April 21, 2026; management states existing accruals cover its estimated exposure net of insurance, but the settlement amount is not separately tagged in XBRL and precise quantification of incremental liability is not available from the filing. Post-period, the ADS divestiture closed April 18, 2026 for $3.6M total consideration ($1.0M cash, $2.6M promissory note); financial reporting implications were still being evaluated as of the filing date. No goodwill impairment was recorded in Q1 2026 (vs. $0 in FY2025 and $40.9M in FY2024), but goodwill remains a zero-recovery item. Operating cash flow was negative $2.9M for Q1 2026, improved from negative $7.9M in Q1 2025, with free cash flow of negative $6.3M after $3.5M capex.
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